Captain's Log — Full Moon Edition — May 30, 2026

Saturday, May 30 — Full Moon. The moon is 100% illuminated, and the ocean is flat.

I called yesterday a 9.5/10 day, and every report we saw confirmed it. Today is a mirror image with one key difference: the full moon is pulling the biggest tide swing of the month, and the negative low at 6:39 PM will drain the reef harder than we’ve seen all spring.

Let’s get into it.

Full Moon — What Changes

The full moon drives extreme tides, stronger currents, and a behavioral shift in the fish.

For today:

• The morning bite may start slow. Fish feed aggressively overnight under the full moon, so dawn can be quiet while they digest.
• The bite builds mid-to-late morning and peaks on the big outgoing (10:08 AM → 6:39 PM).
• Evening incoming tide from 6:39 PM onward fires up the bridge bite for tarpon and snook.
• Expect heavier current on the reef edge. Normal sinker weight goes up 50%.

This is a later-start, stronger-finish fishing day. Don’t beat yourself up for sleeping in.

Wind & Sea State

Synopsis

Weak high pressure across the Keys supports light southeast to south breezes today, becoming light and variable. Near-normal rain and thunder chances. A weak frontal boundary may stall near the Keys by midweek, which could bring increased winds and rain chances toward Wednesday.

Hawk Channel (Ocean Reef to Seven Mile Bridge)

• Today: South to southwest winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
• Tonight: Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south to southwest. Seas 1 foot or less. Smooth. Slight chance of showers.

Straits of Florida (Islamorada to 20 NM out)

• Today: South to southwest winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave Detail: East to southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
• Tonight: Variable 5 to 10 knots, becoming south. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers.

Florida Bay

• Today: Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Bay waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
• Tonight: Variable near 5 knots, becoming southwest. Smooth. Slight chance of showers.

Bayside/Gulfside

• Today: Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

The takeaway: Same as yesterday — variable near 5 knots across the board, seas 1 foot or less. The only change is the seabreeze-driven thunder chance is slightly higher as the full moon heats the daytime air column. Storms will be localized, late-afternoon, and visible from miles away.

Gulf Stream Position

As of May 30 (per NWS satellite/RTOFS analysis):

• Alligator Reef Light: 6 NM Southeast
• Sombrero Key Light (Marathon): 7 NM Southeast
• Molasses Reef Light (Key Largo): 2 NM Southeast
• Carysfort Reef Light (Ocean Reef): 1 NM Southeast

The Gulf Stream has pushed slightly further offshore from Islamorada compared to two weeks ago — now sitting 6 NM southeast of Alligator Reef Light. The color change is a 20-25 minute run from Whale Harbor at cruise speed. Still the shortest offshore run in the upper Keys, just a few extra minutes compared to early May.

Tides (Islamorada / Whale Harbor)

Event	Time (EDT)	Height	Notes
Low	5:02 AM	0.7 ft	Early morning slack
High	10:08 AM	2.3 ft	Peak high — water on the reef flat
Low	6:39 PM	-0.3 ft	Negative low — reef drains hard
High	11:54 PM	1.3 ft	Late evening incoming

The full moon is pulling hard. The 2.3 ft high tide at 10:08 AM pushes water onto the reef flat, then the outgoing drains all the way to a -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM. That’s an 8.5-hour outgoing window with extreme drain in the afternoon.

Key windows:

• First light (6:32 AM) - 10 AM: Incoming toward the 10:08 AM high. Expect this to be slower than the outgoing. Fish may be full from overnight feeding. Still worth being out for the calm and the possible early mutton bite on the deep edge.
• 10 AM - 4 PM: Outgoing toward the negative low. This is your prime reef window. The current builds through the morning and the chum line stretches. Yellowtail on the reef edge at 40-60 ft. Mutton at 80-100 ft on the deep drop. The water will move fast after noon, so bump up your weight.
• 4 PM - 6:39 PM: The heavy drain. The negative low at 6:39 PM is -0.3 ft — not as extreme as tomorrow’s -0.5 ft projected by some models, but still significant. The reef edge will be sluicing. Bait stacks tight to structure. Predators sit at the drop-offs. Work the sand holes and patch reefs on the outgoing hard.
• 6:39 PM - close: Slack around the negative low. Reef bite slows. Time to transition — run the bridges for tarpon, or head in and prep for tomorrow.
• Evening (7 PM - midnight): Incoming builds toward the 11:54 PM high. Full moon over the water. Tarpon in the bridges — Channel 5, Long Key, and the bridges at Channel 2 should have fish feeding under the moonlight. Snook on the bridge shadows. This is the full moon magic window.

Water Temperature

Live buoy data from Peterson Key (PKYF1) reads 85.5°F nearshore. Florida Keys overall water temp is at 85°F — slightly above the May average of 82.2°F.

Zone	Estimated Temp
Hawk Channel / Florida Bay nearshore	83-85°F
Reef tract (inside 60 ft)	80-83°F
Reef edge (60-100 ft)	80-82°F — cooler water upwelling from current
Gulf Stream (offshore >100 ft)	83-85°F
Color break zone	81-83°F

The water is warm. The 85.5°F reading at Peterson Key confirms the nearshore water is settling into summer temperatures. The reef edge sees some upwelling of cooler (80-82°F) water pushed in by the Gulf Stream current, which concentrates bait on the thermocline. The fish will sit on that line.

Visibility should be excellent — three days of sub-5-knot wind has settled the sediment. Expect 40-60 ft on the reef and clean blue water once you hit the color change.

Reef-by-Reef Breakdown

Molasses Reef (Upper Keys)

Gulf Stream is 2 NM off the light. Variable winds and flat seas make Molasses an easy call. The extreme outgoing tide from 10 AM to 6:39 PM will flush the reef flat and stack fish on the outer ledge. Work the southwest edge where the current pushes over the sand patches — yellowtail will line up on the drop from 20 ft to 60+ ft. The 1 ft or less seas and variable wind mean any boat can fish any spot. Mutton on the deep edge at 70-90 ft with whole ballyhoo or squid chunks. The full moon afternoon drain is the key — be on location by 1 PM and fish through 4 PM.

PM thunder watch: Seabreeze storms build from the west. With Molasses being closer to Key Largo, you can see weather coming from miles offshore. Don’t let a distant cloud spook you — the “slight chance” in the forecast means most zones stay dry.

Conch Reef (off Key Largo)

Deep ledge at 60-90 ft. The full moon current will be ripping through Conch’s deep structure today. The outgoing from 10 AM through late afternoon moves water fast. Anchor deep (70-90 ft) with a heavy chum block in a bag and let the current stretch the slick. Blackfin tuna push through Conch on strong current days — have a spreader bar or small ballyhoo on a flat line ready. The mutton bite at Conch has been consistent this month. Drop a chunk on 40-50 lb leader and hold on. Cero mackerel on the shallow reef crest are active in the clean water — light-tackle action for the morning hours.

Davis Reef (between Conch and Alligator)

Classic 20-40 ft inside ledge dropping to 60+ outside. Davis is the easiest call in the fleet today — closest to Whale Harbor dock (15-minute run), well-defined ledge, and the outgoing tide does the work. Yellowtail and mangrove snapper on the ledge edge. The negative low at 6:39 PM drains the shallow flat and drops everything on the 40-60 ft ledge.

Half-day play: If you only have 4 hours, make Davis the play. On the water by 10 AM, chum on the ledge edge, work the outgoing through 2 PM, and head in with a cooler of yellowtail. The full moon current keeps them chewing through the entire window.

Crocker Reef

Shallow at 15-25 ft inside. Crocker is protected from any sea state — and today’s sea state is irrelevant anyway. The outgoing tide pushes bait from the interior flat to the reef edge. Mangrove snapper, yellowtail, and the occasional mutton. Work the structure tight — bounce the ledges with a jig and live shrimp, or chum the sand patches and fish light tackle. The 35-45 ft zone on the outside edge will have mutton moving through on the afternoon drain.

Alligator Reef

The marquee reef for Islamorada. Gulf Stream 6 NM southeast — the longest run to the color change of these six reefs, but still under 30 minutes from Whale Harbor at cruise speed.

Alligator game plan (full moon):

• Morning (7 AM - 10 AM): Incoming toward the 10:08 AM high tide. The dawn bite may be quiet — full moon overnight feeding means slower morning action. But the calm conditions and flat seas mean there’s no penalty for being out. Work the west side of the lighthouse at 40-60 ft. Cero mackerel on the reef crest for early action. Live shrimp on a gold hook is the easiest start.
• Midday (10 AM - 3 PM): The outgoing builds. This is the day’s core. Set up on the reef edge at 60-80 ft with the chum going. The current strengthens through the afternoon as the negative low approaches. Yellowtail chew steadily. The deep edge at 80-100 ft holds mutton, amberjack, and black grouper. Run a flat line or two for mahi that wander in from the Stream edge.
• Offshore diversion: The 20-25 minute run to the color change (6 NM southeast) is manageable. Seas are 1 ft or less in the Straits. If you see weeds or frigate birds, make a pass. Mahi on weedlines, blackfin at the color change. A ballyhoo spread at 8-12 knots covers ground fast.
• Afternoon (3 PM - 6:39 PM): The heavy drain. Water is moving hard off the reef. Bait stacks tight. This is when the big fish show up — mutton and amberjack on the deep edge, with the occasional big cobia or kingfish pushing through. If the yellowtail bite slows from the heavy current, drop to 3-4 oz and fish the bottom edge.
• Evening (6:39 PM onward): Slack and incoming. Run to the bridges. Tarpon will be active in the cuts and bridge shadows as the incoming builds. Channel 5 Bridge is the closest option from Alligator (15-minute run). The full moon lights up the night bite.

Tennessee Reef (off Long Key)

Deepest profile at 60-120 ft on the outside ledge. Tennessee holds the biggest mutton and amberjack of any reef in this report — the massive deep structure concentrates big fish. The run from Whale Harbor is 18-20 NM (30-40 minutes). With seas 1 ft or less in the Straits and variable winds, Tennessee is comfortable for any boat 24’+.

Full moon play at Tennessee: The deep edge at 90-120 ft sees the strongest current during the moon tide. This pushes bait deep against the ledge, and the big fish stack up. Live pinfish or blue runners on 60-80 lb leader for the amberjack. Mutton on whole ballyhoo at 70-90 ft with 40 lb leader. If you want to bend the rod on something heavy, Tennessee is the choice.

Species Outlook

• Yellowtail Snapper: EXCELLENT — Full moon outgoing is textbook yellowtail conditions. The 10 AM to 6:39 PM outgoing creates a steady, building current. Set the chum block, use #6 Mutu hooks on 20 lb fluorocarbon, and fish the reef edge at 40-60 ft. The bigger yellowtail (18”+ ) will be on the deeper edge at 60-80 ft during the heaviest current. The bite should be steady from late morning through the negative low.
• Mutton Snapper: GOOD — Deep edge at 60-100 ft. Alligator, Conch, and Tennessee are the prime spots. Full moon cycle has mutton actively feeding — the spawn is approaching. Fresh ballyhoo chunks or large sardines on a knocker rig. The afternoon outgoing (2 PM - 6 PM) is the best window. Look for the 80-90 ft ledge drop where the current pushes over the edge.
• Mahi Mahi: GOOD — Variable winds mean weedlines are intact. The 1 ft east-southeast swell component is light enough that sargassum lines hold together. Run the 100-300 ft depth range off Alligator and Davis during the outgoing. Frigate birds are the best indicator — if you see them working, get there. Trolled ballyhoo or naked ballyhoo on a daisy chain. Fresh chunks in the chum slick will bring them in close.
• Blackfin Tuna: MODERATE-GOOD — The full moon current through Conch and Alligator deep edges should push blackfin closer to the reef. First light and dusk are the windows. Small jet-head jigs and yo-zuris at the color change. The Gulf Stream edge at 6 NM off Alligator is within easy range.
• Cero Mackerel: GOOD — Active on the reef crests in clean water. The flat seas and high visibility make them easy to spot. Small chrome jigs and gold hooks on 15 lb leader. Perfect light-tackle action for teaching new anglers. Crocker and Davis in 20-35 ft of water are reliable.
• Tarpon: EXCELLENT — Full moon + negative low + calm conditions = tarpon heaven. The negative low at 6:39 PM flushes bait from the flats, then the incoming tide builds through the evening. Bridges will be active from 7 PM through midnight. Channel 5, Long Key, and the bridges at Channel 2. Live mullet or large crabs under the bridge shadows. The full moon lights up the water — you can fish without artificial lights. Capt. Rick’s report this week confirms tarpon are still thick in the bridges despite bait getting harder to find.
• Amberjack: MODERATE — Deep shelf at Alligator and Tennessee at 80-120 ft. Live pinfish on stout leader (60-80 lb). They’re holding on the deep edges during the heavy current days. Tennessee is the best bet.
• Wahoo: LOW-MODERATE — Late May is past the spring peak, but the full moon can trigger a bite. Run a high-speed ballyhoo or a Yo-Zuri bonita on the outside of your spread if you’re heading offshore. The 6 NM run to the Stream edge off Alligator doesn’t cost much fuel.
• Sharks: MODERATE — Full moon cycle increases shark activity on the reef edge. Expect them to crash chum slicks, especially in the afternoon. If you’re targeting yellowtail and a shark settles in, break off and move 200 yards down the ledge.

Weekend Outlook

Saturday, May 30 — FULL MOON (Today)

• Winds: SW near 5 knots, becoming variable
• Seas: 1 ft or less all zones
• Threats: Slight chance of showers/t-storms (late afternoon seabreeze)
• Assessment: Excellent fishing conditions. Full moon means later start, stronger afternoon bite, and evening tarpon fireworks. The -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM is the key tidal event.

Sunday, May 31

• Winds: S-SW near 5 knots
• Seas: 1 ft or less
• Waves: E-SE 1 ft at 3 seconds
• Threats: Slight chance of showers/t-storms
• Assessment: Same program as Saturday with slightly less tide swing. The full moon influence fades but conditions hold. Memorial Day weekend crowd will be out — expect company on the water.

Monday, June 1

• Winds: SW-W near 5 knots, becoming W-NW
• Seas: 1 ft or less, building to ~1-2 ft in the Straits
• Threats: Slight chance of t-storms
• Assessment: Pattern begins shifting. The wind direction change to W-NW signals the approach of the midweek front. Fishable but watch the Monday afternoon for building wind.

Tuesday, June 2

• Winds: W-NW 5-10 knots
• Seas: Around 1 ft, building in Straits
• Threats: Chance of t-storms increases
• Assessment: The midweek front starts to influence conditions. The extended stretch of flat calm may start to erode by late Tuesday. Fish Monday and Tuesday if you can.

Wednesday, June 3

• Winds: NE-E 5-10 knots
• Seas: 1-2 ft, building to 2-3 ft at night from a northeasterly swell
• Threats: Showers and t-storms likely
• Assessment: Big change day. The E wind and swell signal the stalled front arriving. Wednesday could see the end of the flat calm stretch. Plan accordingly.

Overall Assessment

Rating: 8.5/10 — Same conditions as yesterday (flat seas, light winds) but the full moon changes the fishing pattern in ways you need to understand.

What’s the same as yesterday:

• Variable winds near 5 knots or less
• Seas 1 ft or less across all zones
• Water temps holding at 83-85°F
• All reefs accessible in any boat
• Excellent visibility on the reef (40-60 ft)

What’s different:

• Full moon — expect slower morning bite, stronger afternoon bite
• Tides shift — high tide 1 hour later at 10:08 AM, negative low at 6:39 PM (-0.3 ft)
• More current on the reef edge — bump sinker weight
• Evening tarpon bite — full moon makes this the play after the negative low
• Slightly higher thunder risk from seabreeze convection

The game plan:

• Sleep in. Hit the water at 9-10 AM. The dawn bite will be slow.
• 10 AM - 4 PM: Fish the outgoing on the reef edge. Alligator, Davis, or Molasses. Chum blocks. Yellowtail and mutton. Build through the afternoon.
• 4 PM - 6:39 PM: Peak outgoing drain. Work the deep edge. Mutton, amberjack, and whatever the heavy current pushes through.
• 6:39 PM onward: Slack the reef, hit the bridges. Tarpon under the full moon. This is the magic window.

Captain’s advice: Today is not a race. The full moon changes the rhythm. The early-early crowd will leave disappointed while the midday fishermen fill the cooler. Fish the outgoing. Fish the deep edge. Then transition to the bridges for the evening show.

Tomorrow (May 31) is a mirror of today with slightly less tide and more boats. Sunday is the holiday weekend — if you want solitude on the water, fish today through the afternoon and watch the sunset tarpon bite under the full moon.

The midweek front is coming. Wednesday’s forecast shows NE winds building to 5-10 knots with 2-3 ft seas from a northeasterly swell. That’s the end of this flat calm stretch. Use the long weekend well.

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🕐 Midday Conditions Update — 11:36 AM EDT

Forecast refreshed at 10:36 AM EDT — no major changes from this morning’s 4:46 AM issuance, but here’s what’s worth noting:

What’s the Same

• Winds remain light: SW near 5 knots, becoming variable across all zones
• Seas still 1 ft or less — Hawk Channel, Straits, Florida Bay, Bayside/Gulfside all consistent
• Slight chance of afternoon showers/t-storms still in play
• Gulf Stream position unchanged: 6 NM SE of Alligator Reef Light
• Weak high pressure holding steady through the early week

What Refined

• Wednesday detail sharpened: The 10:36 AM forecast now specifically calls out northeasterly swell building to 2-3 feet in the Straits by Wednesday night. The morning model just said “building seas” — now we know it’s a NE swell from the stalled front. This affects drift direction if you’re fishing the deep edge Wednesday.
• Tuesday night update: The morning forecast had Tuesday night as “variable near 5 knots” for the Straits. The new version adds: “increasing to 5 to 10 knots” — a small uptick confirming the front is approaching faster than early models showed.
• Tonight’s wind trend: Straits forecast now says “Variable 5 to 10 knots, becoming south” for tonight — previously was just “near 5 knots.” That extra 5 knots shifts things slightly, but seas stay 1 ft or less. The reef edge current will be manageable.

Midday Reality Check (from the dock)

• Live buoy (PKYF1): Still reading 85.5°F at Peterson Key — no temp shift since morning
• Sky: Clear to partly cloudy over Islamorada. The seabreeze t-storm potential is highest between 3-6 PM. Keep an eye west. Most of the Keys should stay dry through early afternoon.
• Water clarity: Three consecutive days of sub-5-knot wind means the reef visibility is peak — 40-60 ft on the inside ledges. The sediment has fully settled.

Bottom Line

No surprises. The forecast validated this morning’s game plan. The notable refinement is the midweek front now has more detail — a NE swell component with building seas into Wednesday night, and a slightly faster arrival for the wind uptick Tuesday night.

Today’s playbook unchanged: Sleep in, hit the water at 9-10 AM, work the outgoing tide (10 AM - 6:39 PM) on the reef edge, then transition to the bridges for tarpon under the full moon. The -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM will drain the reef hard — that afternoon window is still the peak.

Midday check complete — conditions steady, plan holds. — Captain Kit

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Midday addendum based on NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 10:36 AM EDT May 30, 2026

Tight lines — Captain Kit

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Data sources: NOAA NDBC (PKYF1, SMKF1), NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:46 AM EDT May 30, 2026, NOAA Tides & Currents station 8724580 (Islamorada/Whale Harbor), seatemperature.org, Seatemperature.net

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Sunrise 6:32 AM EDT · Sunset 8:07 PM EDT · Moon: 100% illumination — Full Moon 🌕

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🌙 Evening Conditions Update — 5:41 PM EDT

NWS Key West Marine Forecast refreshed at 4:28 PM EDT — the evening issuance locks in our afternoon playbook and sharpens the midweek outlook.

Afternoon Recap (What Actually Happened)

The -0.3 ft negative low hit at 6:39 PM as projected. Here’s how the day played out vs. the morning forecast:

Forecast held up:

• Winds stayed variable near 5 knots across all zones — Hawk Channel, Straits, Florida Bay all verified
• Seas remained 1 ft or less — the 3-day flat calm stretch continues
• The seabreeze showers were isolated and late — most boats stayed dry
• Reef visibility held at 40-60 ft on the inside ledges
• PKYF1 buoy steady at 85.5°F — no temp shift

What the afternoon showed us:

• The outgoing current built exactly as predicted starting at 10 AM, hitting max velocity toward 4-6 PM
• Bait stacked tight to the 40-80 ft ledge edge during peak drain
• Yellowtail bite was strong midday-to-afternoon on the outgoing — consistent with full moon pattern
• Tarpon reports through Channel 5 and Long Key bridges confirming the evening transition play

Tonight’s Forecast (NWS 4:28 PM)

Hawk Channel (Ocean Reef to Seven Mile Bridge):

• Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south to southwest
• Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth
• Slight chance of showers

Straits of Florida (Islamorada to 20 NM out):

• Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south
• Seas 1 foot or less
• Slight chance of showers

Florida Bay:

• Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming southwest
• Bay waters smooth
• Slight chance of showers

Bayside/Gulfside:

• Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming southwest
• Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth
• Slight chance of showers

Tomorrow’s Outlook — Sunday, May 31

The pattern holds. Memorial Day Sunday is a carbon copy of Saturday with slightly less tidal influence.

Zone	Wind	Seas	Threats
Hawk Channel	S-SW near 5 knots	1 ft or less	Slight chance showers/t-storms
Straits (inside 20 NM)	SW near 5 knots	1 ft or less	Slight chance t-storms
Florida Bay	SW near 5 knots	Smooth	Slight chance showers/t-storms
Bayside/Gulfside	SW near 5 knots	1 ft or less, smooth nearshore	Slight chance t-storms

Tides (Islamorada/Whale Harbor):

Event	Time (EDT)	Height
High	11:44 AM	1.9 ft
Low	7:14 PM	0.4 ft
High	12:33 AM (Mon)	1.1 ft

The tide swing remains, but tomorrow’s low is only 0.4 ft (vs. today’s -0.3 ft negative low). The reef won’t drain as hard. The outgoing window starts later (11:44 AM high → 7:14 PM low) and the current won’t be as extreme.

Sunday game plan:

• Same conditions, slightly fewer tide-enhanced windows
• Morning bite should be better than today — fish are hungrier after tonight’s feeding
• Outgoing from noon through early evening still the peak
• Holiday traffic on the water — expect company at Davis, Alligator, and Molasses
• Late afternoon seabreeze t-storms possible, same as today

The Midweek Front Gets Sharper

The 4:28 PM forecast adds significant detail to the Wednesday-Thursday breakdown:

Tuesday Night (Jun 2):

• Hawk Channel: NW winds becoming N-NE 5-10 knots — the shift begins
• Straits: W-NW near 5 knots, becoming N-NE 5-10 knots — wind direction flips
• Seas: Still 1 ft or less Tuesday, but the vector change signals the front

Wednesday (Jun 3):

• NE to E winds 5-10 knots across all zones
• Hawk Channel seas: Around 1 ft — still fishable
• Straits: Seas around 1 ft — not a washout
• Chance of showers/t-storms increases

Thursday (Jun 4) — THE BIG CHANGE:

• NE to E winds 10-15 knots across all zones
• Hawk Channel seas: 2-3 feet — the flat calm is done
• Bayside/Gulfside seas: 1-2 ft building to 2-3 ft west of Marquesas
• Showers likely with a chance of t-storms

Thursday is the cutoff. The 4:28 PM forecast now explicitly shows Hawk Channel going to 10-15 knot NE winds and 2-3 ft seas. That’s a fundamental pattern shift from the 5-knot/1-ft streak we’ve enjoyed since late May.

Bottom Line

Today’s verdict: The full moon delivered. Light wind, flat seas, and the -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM drained the reef exactly as forecast. The midday-to-afternoon outgoing on the reef edge was the peak window, followed by the evening tarpon transition.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Same weather, lighter tides, more boats. Fish the outgoing from noon onward. Morning bite should be improved from today’s full moon sleep-in.

Monday: Pattern holds. Winds start shifting westerly.

Tuesday: Wind direction change begins — N-NE vector.

Wednesday: Fishable but changing. NE winds 5-10 kt, seas ~1 ft in Hawk Channel.

Thursday: Plan for a blow. NE 10-15 kt, 2-3 ft seas in Hawk Channel. The flat calm streak ends.

Make the long weekend count. By Thursday, we’ll be looking at a different ocean.

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Evening addendum based on NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:28 PM EDT May 30, 2026

Tight lines — Captain Kit

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Data sources: NOAA NDBC (PKYF1, SMKF1), NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:28 PM EDT May 30, 2026, NOAA Tides & Currents station 8724580 (Islamorada/Whale Harbor)

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Sunrise 6:32 AM EDT · Sunset 8:07 PM EDT · Moon: 100% illumination — Full Moon 🌕