Islamorada fishing report, November 10, 2026, short seas outside, light chop in the bay, slight chance of showers

Conditions data: FishIntel, the daily Islamorada fishing intelligence report.

Prepared at 6:00 AM EST on November 10, 2026. This is the scheduled morning conditions report.

A high pressure system over the Southeast is shifting east across the Atlantic. That leaves east to southeast breezes for today. The seas are manageable, with around 2 feet in the Hawk Channel and 2 to 3 feet in the Straits. NOAA calls for a slight chance of showers. No verified catches or on-the-water observations were available for this report.

Wind and seas today

NOAA’s Key West coastal waters forecast was issued at 4:18 AM EST on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.

Hawk Channel winds are east to southeast 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas are around 2 feet. Nearshore waters are a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers.

Florida Bay winds are east to southeast near 10 knots. Bay waters are a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers.

Straits of Florida winds are east 10 to 15 knots. Seas are 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: East 3 feet at 5 seconds. There is a slight chance of showers.

NOAA’s sea heights are significant wave heights. This is the average height of the highest third of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.

From Molasses to Tennessee

No verified reef-specific visibility or current readings were available for these six areas.

Reef area	Morning planning note
Molasses	The NDBC station MLRF1 has no recent reports. Gulf Stream edge was 8 NM southeast of Molasses Reef Light as of November 8, 2026.
Conch	No reef readings available today.
Davis	No reef readings available today.
Crocker	No reef readings available today.
Alligator	Gulf Stream edge was 10 NM south of Alligator Reef Light as of November 8, 2026.
Tennessee	No reef readings available today.

Today’s tides

The reference is NOAA station 8723808, Upper Matecumbe Key, Florida Bay. Times are local (EDT/EST) on November 10, 2026. Heights are feet relative to mean lower low water, or MLLW. These are predictions, not observed water levels.

Event	Time, local (EDT/EST)	Height, feet MLLW
Low	06:09	0.034
High	11:30	0.549
Low	17:30	0.308
High	22:34	0.831

This is a bayside reference. Check the actual flow where you intend to fish.

Water temperature

NOAA station 8723970, Vaca Key, Florida Bay, reported 82.8 F at 5:54 AM local on November 10. It is a regional bay reading, not a measured temperature at any of the six reef areas in this report.

Species outlook

There is no basis for a species call today. No verified catch or bite data was available.

Tonight and tomorrow

Tonight, Hawk Channel east to southeast winds are near 10 knots. Seas are 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters are a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers. Straits east winds are 10 to 15 knots. Seas are 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: East 3 feet at 5 seconds. There is a slight chance of showers.

Florida Bay sees east to southeast winds near 10 knots tonight, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters are a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers.

Wednesday, Hawk Channel east to southeast winds are near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas are 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. Nearshore waters are a light chop, becoming smooth. There is a slight chance of showers. Straits east to southeast winds are near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas are around 2 feet. Wave detail: East to southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. There is a slight chance of showers.

Florida Bay sees east to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots on Wednesday, decreasing to near 5 knots. Bay waters are smooth to a light chop, becoming smooth. There is a slight chance of showers.

Sources

Conditions data for this log is sourced from FishIntel, the daily Islamorada fishing intelligence report for the Florida Keys. The NOAA and NDBC products it builds on are linked below.

Conditions in this report come from the NOAA and NDBC products linked below.

• NOAA Key West coastal waters forecast, issued November 10, 2026, at 4:18 AM EST.
• NOAA Upper Matecumbe Key tide predictions, November 10, 2026, local time (EDT/EST), feet MLLW.
• NOAA Vaca Key water temperature, November 10 at 5:54 AM local.
• NDBC Molasses Reef station, no recent reports when checked.

Midday update, 11:30 AM EST

I prepared this update at 11:30 AM EST using the NOAA coastal waters forecast issued at 10:34 AM EST today. Compared to the 4:18 AM bulletin used in the morning report, the main change is in the Hawk Channel winds for the current period. The morning forecast had east to southeast winds of 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. The new bulletin lists east to southeast winds near 10 knots for the rest of the day. The morning’s wind speed range was higher, but the end state is the same.

For the rest of today, the Hawk Channel maintains those near 10 knot east to southeast winds. Seas remain around 2 feet with nearshore waters a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers. In the Straits of Florida, conditions hold steady with east winds of 10 to 15 knots and seas of 2 to 3 feet. The wave detail is East 3 feet at 5 seconds, and there is a slight chance of showers. Florida Bay sees east to southeast winds near 10 knots with bay waters a light chop and a slight chance of showers.

For the reef areas from Molasses to Tennessee, this means planning for light chop in the Hawk Channel and short seas outside. The slight decrease in the upper wind range in the Hawk Channel suggests a slightly calmer ride for afternoon trips compared to the morning outlook, but the sea heights themselves are unchanged. You can expect the same manageable conditions as noted earlier, with no new hazards appearing in the updated text for these zones.

Tonight, the Hawk Channel holds east to southeast winds near 10 knots with seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters stay a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers. The Straits keep east winds of 10 to 15 knots and seas of 2 to 3 feet, with the wave detail remaining East 3 feet at 5 seconds. There is a slight chance of showers. Florida Bay east to southeast winds are near 10 knots tonight, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters are a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. There is a slight chance of showers. Wednesday brings lighter winds in the Hawk Channel, near 10 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots, and seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. Nearshore waters are a light chop, becoming smooth. There is a slight chance of showers. The Straits will see east to southeast winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas are around 2 feet. Wave detail: East to southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. There is a slight chance of showers. Florida Bay will be smooth to a light chop, becoming smooth, with east to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, decreasing to near 5 knots. There is a slight chance of showers.

There are no new verified catches or on-the-water readings to add to the morning’s data. The tide table and water temperature listed above keep their original labels and values. I have not checked the tide or temperature stations again since the morning report.

Source: NOAA Key West coastal waters forecast, issued November 10, 2026, at 10:34 AM EST. Checked at 11:30 AM EST.

Conditions data for this update comes from FishIntel, the daily Islamorada fishing intelligence report, using the NOAA bulletin named above.