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The DirtyBoat running south from Key Largo to Islamorada

May 30, 2026

Captain's Log, Full Moon Edition, May 30, 2026

Saturday, May 30. Full moon. The moon is 100% lit and the ocean is flat.

I called yesterday a 9.5/10 day, and every report we saw backed that up. Today looks nearly identical, with one difference that matters: the full moon is pulling the biggest tide swing of the month, and the negative low at 6:39 PM will drain the reef harder than anything we’ve seen all spring.

What the full moon changes

The full moon brings extreme tides, stronger currents, and a shift in how the fish behave.

For today:

  • The morning bite may start slow. Fish feed hard overnight under the full moon, so dawn can be quiet while they digest.
  • The bite builds mid to late morning and peaks on the big outgoing (10:08 AM to 6:39 PM).
  • The evening incoming from 6:39 PM onward fires up the bridge bite for tarpon and snook.
  • Expect heavier current on the reef edge. Bump your normal sinker weight up about 50%.

This is a later-start, stronger-finish day. No reason to beat yourself up for sleeping in.

Wind and sea state

Synopsis

Weak high pressure across the Keys supports light southeast to south breezes today, going light and variable. Near-normal rain and thunder chances. A weak frontal boundary may stall near the Keys by midweek, which could bring more wind and higher rain chances toward Wednesday.

Hawk Channel (Ocean Reef to Seven Mile Bridge)

  • Today: South to southwest winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
  • Tonight: Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south to southwest. Seas 1 foot or less. Smooth. Slight chance of showers.

Straits of Florida (Islamorada to 20 NM out)

  • Today: South to southwest winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave Detail: East to southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
  • Tonight: Variable 5 to 10 knots, becoming south. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers.

Florida Bay

  • Today: Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Bay waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
  • Tonight: Variable near 5 knots, becoming southwest. Smooth. Slight chance of showers.

Bayside/Gulfside

  • Today: Southwest to west winds near 5 knots, becoming variable. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

The takeaway: Same as yesterday. Variable near 5 knots across the board, seas 1 foot or less. The one change is a slightly higher seabreeze thunder chance as the full moon heats the daytime air column. Storms will be local, late afternoon, and visible from miles off.

Gulf Stream position

As of May 30 (per NWS satellite/RTOFS analysis):

  • Alligator Reef Light: 6 NM Southeast
  • Sombrero Key Light (Marathon): 7 NM Southeast
  • Molasses Reef Light (Key Largo): 2 NM Southeast
  • Carysfort Reef Light (Ocean Reef): 1 NM Southeast

The Gulf Stream has pushed a little further offshore from Islamorada than it was two weeks ago. It’s now sitting 6 NM southeast of Alligator Reef Light. The color change is a 20-25 minute run from Whale Harbor at cruise speed. That’s still the shortest offshore run in the upper Keys, only a few extra minutes over early May.

Tides (Islamorada / Whale Harbor)

EventTime (EDT)HeightNotes
Low5:02 AM0.7 ftEarly morning slack
High10:08 AM2.3 ftPeak high, water on the reef flat
Low6:39 PM-0.3 ftNegative low, reef drains hard
High11:54 PM1.3 ftLate evening incoming

The full moon is pulling hard. The 2.3 ft high at 10:08 AM pushes water onto the reef flat, then the outgoing drains all the way to a -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM. That’s an 8.5-hour outgoing window with extreme drain in the afternoon.

Key windows:

  • First light (6:32 AM) to 10 AM: Incoming toward the 10:08 AM high. This should run slower than the outgoing. Fish may be full from feeding overnight. Still worth being out for the calm and a possible early mutton bite on the deep edge.
  • 10 AM to 4 PM: Outgoing toward the negative low. This is your prime reef window. The current builds through the morning and the chum line stretches. Yellowtail on the reef edge at 40-60 ft. Mutton at 80-100 ft on the deep drop. The water moves fast after noon, so bump up your weight.
  • 4 PM to 6:39 PM: The heavy drain. The negative low at 6:39 PM is -0.3 ft, not as extreme as tomorrow’s -0.5 ft that some models project, but still significant. The reef edge will be sluicing. Bait stacks tight to structure and predators sit at the drop-offs. Work the sand holes and patch reefs hard on the outgoing.
  • 6:39 PM to close: Slack around the negative low. The reef bite slows. Time to transition, either running the bridges for tarpon or heading in to prep for tomorrow.
  • Evening (7 PM to midnight): Incoming builds toward the 11:54 PM high. Full moon over the water. Tarpon in the bridges at Channel 5, Long Key, and the bridges at Channel 2 should be feeding under the moonlight. Snook on the bridge shadows. This is the full moon magic window.

Water temperature

Live buoy data from Peterson Key (PKYF1) reads 85.5°F nearshore. Florida Keys water temp overall is 85°F, a little above the May average of 82.2°F.

ZoneEstimated Temp
Hawk Channel / Florida Bay nearshore83-85°F
Reef tract (inside 60 ft)80-83°F
Reef edge (60-100 ft)80-82°F, cooler water upwelling from current
Gulf Stream (offshore >100 ft)83-85°F
Color break zone81-83°F

The water is warm. The 85.5°F reading at Peterson Key tells us the nearshore water is settling into summer. The reef edge sees some upwelling of cooler 80-82°F water pushed in by the Gulf Stream current, and that concentrates bait on the thermocline. The fish will sit on that line.

Visibility should be excellent. Three days of sub-5-knot wind has settled the sediment. Expect 40-60 ft on the reef and clean blue water once you hit the color change.

Reef by reef

Molasses Reef (Upper Keys)

Gulf Stream is 2 NM off the light. Variable winds and flat seas make Molasses an easy call. The extreme outgoing from 10 AM to 6:39 PM will flush the reef flat and stack fish on the outer ledge. Work the southwest edge where the current pushes over the sand patches. Yellowtail will line up on the drop from 20 ft to 60+ ft. With seas 1 ft or less and variable wind, any boat can fish any spot. Mutton on the deep edge at 70-90 ft with whole ballyhoo or squid chunks. The full moon afternoon drain is the key, so be on location by 1 PM and fish through 4 PM.

PM thunder watch: Seabreeze storms build from the west. Molasses sits closer to Key Largo, so you can see weather coming from miles offshore. Don’t let a distant cloud spook you. The “slight chance” in the forecast means most zones stay dry.

Conch Reef (off Key Largo)

Deep ledge at 60-90 ft. The full moon current will be ripping through Conch’s deep structure today. The outgoing from 10 AM through late afternoon moves water fast. Anchor deep at 70-90 ft with a heavy chum block in a bag and let the current stretch the slick. Blackfin tuna push through Conch on strong current days, so have a spreader bar or small ballyhoo on a flat line ready. The mutton bite at Conch has been steady this month. Drop a chunk on 40-50 lb leader and hold on. Cero mackerel are active on the shallow reef crest in the clean water, good light-tackle action for the morning hours.

Davis Reef (between Conch and Alligator)

Classic 20-40 ft inside ledge dropping to 60+ outside. Davis is the easiest call in the fleet today. It’s closest to the Whale Harbor dock at a 15-minute run, the ledge is well defined, and the outgoing does the work. Yellowtail and mangrove snapper on the ledge edge. The negative low at 6:39 PM drains the shallow flat and drops everything onto the 40-60 ft ledge.

Half-day play: If you only have 4 hours, make Davis the play. On the water by 10 AM, chum on the ledge edge, work the outgoing through 2 PM, and head in with a cooler of yellowtail. The full moon current keeps them chewing through the whole window.

Crocker Reef

Shallow at 15-25 ft inside. Crocker is protected from any sea state, and today’s sea state is a non-issue anyway. The outgoing pushes bait from the interior flat to the reef edge. Mangrove snapper, yellowtail, and the occasional mutton. Work the structure tight. Bounce the ledges with a jig and live shrimp, or chum the sand patches and fish light tackle. The 35-45 ft zone on the outside edge will have mutton moving through on the afternoon drain.

Alligator Reef

The marquee reef for Islamorada. Gulf Stream 6 NM southeast, the longest run to the color change of these six reefs but still under 30 minutes from Whale Harbor at cruise speed.

Alligator game plan (full moon):

  • Morning (7 AM to 10 AM): Incoming toward the 10:08 AM high. The dawn bite may be quiet since full moon overnight feeding tends to slow the morning. But the calm, flat conditions mean there’s no penalty for being out. Work the west side of the lighthouse at 40-60 ft. Cero mackerel on the reef crest for early action. Live shrimp on a gold hook is the easiest start.
  • Midday (10 AM to 3 PM): The outgoing builds. This is the day’s core. Set up on the reef edge at 60-80 ft with the chum going. The current strengthens through the afternoon as the negative low approaches. Yellowtail chew steadily. The deep edge at 80-100 ft holds mutton, amberjack, and black grouper. Run a flat line or two for mahi that wander in from the Stream edge.
  • Offshore diversion: The 20-25 minute run to the color change (6 NM southeast) is manageable. Seas are 1 ft or less in the Straits. If you see weeds or frigate birds, make a pass. Mahi on the weedlines, blackfin at the color change. A ballyhoo spread at 8-12 knots covers ground fast.
  • Afternoon (3 PM to 6:39 PM): The heavy drain. Water is moving hard off the reef and bait stacks tight. This is when the big fish show up, mutton and amberjack on the deep edge with the occasional big cobia or kingfish pushing through. If the yellowtail bite slows from the heavy current, drop to 3-4 oz and fish the bottom edge.
  • Evening (6:39 PM onward): Slack and incoming. Run to the bridges. Tarpon will be active in the cuts and bridge shadows as the incoming builds. Channel 5 Bridge is the closest option from Alligator at a 15-minute run. The full moon lights up the night bite.

Tennessee Reef (off Long Key)

Deepest profile at 60-120 ft on the outside ledge. Tennessee holds the biggest mutton and amberjack of any reef in this report because the deep structure concentrates the big fish. The run from Whale Harbor is 18-20 NM, 30-40 minutes. With seas 1 ft or less in the Straits and variable winds, Tennessee is comfortable for any boat 24’+.

Full moon play at Tennessee: The deep edge at 90-120 ft sees the strongest current during the moon tide. That pushes bait deep against the ledge and the big fish stack up. Live pinfish or blue runners on 60-80 lb leader for the amberjack. Mutton on whole ballyhoo at 70-90 ft with 40 lb leader. If you want to bend the rod on something heavy, Tennessee is the choice.

Species outlook

  • Yellowtail snapper: EXCELLENT. Full moon outgoing is textbook yellowtail. The 10 AM to 6:39 PM outgoing builds a steady current. Set the chum block, use #6 Mutu hooks on 20 lb fluorocarbon, and fish the reef edge at 40-60 ft. The bigger yellowtail (18”+) will sit on the deeper edge at 60-80 ft during the heaviest current. The bite should be steady from late morning through the negative low.
  • Mutton snapper: GOOD. Deep edge at 60-100 ft. Alligator, Conch, and Tennessee are the prime spots. The full moon cycle has mutton feeding actively with the spawn approaching. Fresh ballyhoo chunks or large sardines on a knocker rig. The afternoon outgoing from 2 PM to 6 PM is the best window. Look for the 80-90 ft ledge drop where the current pushes over the edge.
  • Mahi mahi: GOOD. Variable winds mean the weedlines are intact. The 1 ft east-southeast swell is light enough that sargassum lines hold together. Run the 100-300 ft depth range off Alligator and Davis on the outgoing. Frigate birds are the best indicator, so if you see them working, get there. Trolled ballyhoo or naked ballyhoo on a daisy chain. Fresh chunks in the chum slick will bring them in close.
  • Blackfin tuna: MODERATE-GOOD. The full moon current through Conch and Alligator deep edges should push blackfin closer to the reef. First light and dusk are the windows. Small jet-head jigs and yo-zuris at the color change. The Gulf Stream edge at 6 NM off Alligator is within easy range.
  • Cero mackerel: GOOD. Active on the reef crests in clean water. The flat seas and high visibility make them easy to spot. Small chrome jigs and gold hooks on 15 lb leader. Good light-tackle action for teaching new anglers. Crocker and Davis in 20-35 ft of water are reliable.
  • Tarpon: EXCELLENT. Full moon, negative low, and calm conditions add up to a tarpon night. The negative low at 6:39 PM flushes bait from the flats, then the incoming builds through the evening. The bridges will be active from 7 PM through midnight: Channel 5, Long Key, and the bridges at Channel 2. Live mullet or large crabs under the bridge shadows. The full moon lights up the water enough that you can fish without artificial lights. Capt. Rick’s report this week says tarpon are still thick in the bridges even with bait getting harder to find.
  • Amberjack: MODERATE. Deep shelf at Alligator and Tennessee at 80-120 ft. Live pinfish on stout leader (60-80 lb). They’re holding on the deep edges during the heavy current days. Tennessee is the best bet.
  • Wahoo: LOW-MODERATE. Late May is past the spring peak, but the full moon can trigger a bite. Run a high-speed ballyhoo or a Yo-Zuri bonita on the outside of your spread if you’re heading offshore. The 6 NM run to the Stream edge off Alligator doesn’t cost much fuel.
  • Sharks: MODERATE. The full moon cycle increases shark activity on the reef edge. Expect them to crash chum slicks, especially in the afternoon. If you’re on yellowtail and a shark settles in, break off and move 200 yards down the ledge.

Weekend outlook

Saturday, May 30, full moon (today)

  • Winds: SW near 5 knots, becoming variable
  • Seas: 1 ft or less all zones
  • Threats: Slight chance of showers/t-storms (late afternoon seabreeze)
  • Assessment: Excellent conditions. The full moon means a later start, a stronger afternoon bite, and evening tarpon fireworks. The -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM is the key tidal event.

Sunday, May 31

  • Winds: S-SW near 5 knots
  • Seas: 1 ft or less
  • Waves: E-SE 1 ft at 3 seconds
  • Threats: Slight chance of showers/t-storms
  • Assessment: Same program as Saturday with a little less tide swing. The full moon influence fades but conditions hold. The Memorial Day weekend crowd will be out, so expect company on the water.

Monday, June 1

  • Winds: SW-W near 5 knots, becoming W-NW
  • Seas: 1 ft or less, building to ~1-2 ft in the Straits
  • Threats: Slight chance of t-storms
  • Assessment: The pattern starts shifting. The wind direction change to W-NW signals the midweek front approaching. Fishable, but watch Monday afternoon for building wind.

Tuesday, June 2

  • Winds: W-NW 5-10 knots
  • Seas: Around 1 ft, building in Straits
  • Threats: Chance of t-storms increases
  • Assessment: The midweek front starts to push on conditions. The long stretch of flat calm may start to erode by late Tuesday. Fish Monday and Tuesday if you can.

Wednesday, June 3

  • Winds: NE-E 5-10 knots
  • Seas: 1-2 ft, building to 2-3 ft at night from a northeasterly swell
  • Threats: Showers and t-storms likely
  • Assessment: Big change day. The E wind and swell signal the stalled front arriving. Wednesday could end the flat calm stretch. Plan accordingly.

Overall assessment

Rating: 8.5/10. Same conditions as yesterday, flat seas and light winds, but the full moon changes the fishing pattern in ways you need to understand.

What’s the same as yesterday:

  • Variable winds near 5 knots or less
  • Seas 1 ft or less across all zones
  • Water temps holding at 83-85°F
  • All reefs accessible in any boat
  • Excellent visibility on the reef (40-60 ft)

What’s different:

  • Full moon. Expect a slower morning bite and a stronger afternoon bite.
  • Tides shift. High tide an hour later at 10:08 AM, negative low at 6:39 PM (-0.3 ft).
  • More current on the reef edge, so bump your sinker weight.
  • Evening tarpon bite. The full moon makes this the play after the negative low.
  • Slightly higher thunder risk from seabreeze convection.

The game plan:

  • Sleep in. Hit the water at 9-10 AM. The dawn bite will be slow.
  • 10 AM to 4 PM: Fish the outgoing on the reef edge at Alligator, Davis, or Molasses. Chum blocks. Yellowtail and mutton. Build through the afternoon.
  • 4 PM to 6:39 PM: Peak outgoing drain. Work the deep edge for mutton, amberjack, and whatever the heavy current pushes through.
  • 6:39 PM onward: Slack the reef, hit the bridges. Tarpon under the full moon. This is the magic window.

Captain’s advice: Today is not a race. The full moon changes the rhythm. The dawn-patrol crowd will leave disappointed while the midday fishermen fill the cooler. Fish the outgoing, fish the deep edge, then move to the bridges for the evening show.

Tomorrow, May 31, mirrors today with a little less tide and more boats. Sunday is the holiday weekend, so if you want solitude on the water, fish today through the afternoon and watch the sunset tarpon bite under the full moon.

The midweek front is coming. Wednesday’s forecast shows NE winds building to 5-10 knots with 2-3 ft seas from a northeasterly swell. That’s the end of this flat calm stretch. Use the long weekend well.


Midday update, 11:36 AM EDT

Forecast refreshed at 10:36 AM EDT. No major changes from this morning’s 4:46 AM issuance, but a few things worth noting.

What’s the same

  • Winds stay light: SW near 5 knots, becoming variable across all zones
  • Seas still 1 ft or less, with Hawk Channel, Straits, Florida Bay, and Bayside/Gulfside all consistent
  • Slight chance of afternoon showers/t-storms still in play
  • Gulf Stream position unchanged at 6 NM SE of Alligator Reef Light
  • Weak high pressure holding steady through the early week

What got refined

  • Wednesday detail sharpened. The 10:36 AM forecast now calls out a northeasterly swell building to 2-3 feet in the Straits by Wednesday night. The morning model just said “building seas.” Now we know it’s a NE swell from the stalled front, which affects drift direction if you’re fishing the deep edge Wednesday.
  • Tuesday night update. The morning forecast had Tuesday night as “variable near 5 knots” for the Straits. The new version adds “increasing to 5 to 10 knots,” a small uptick that says the front is coming a touch faster than early models showed.
  • Tonight’s wind trend. The Straits forecast now reads “Variable 5 to 10 knots, becoming south” for tonight, up from just “near 5 knots.” That extra 5 knots nudges things, but seas stay 1 ft or less and the reef edge current stays manageable.

Midday reality check (from the dock)

  • Live buoy (PKYF1): Still reading 85.5°F at Peterson Key, no temp shift since morning
  • Sky: Clear to partly cloudy over Islamorada. The seabreeze t-storm potential is highest between 3-6 PM, so keep an eye west. Most of the Keys should stay dry through early afternoon.
  • Water clarity: Three days running of sub-5-knot wind has the reef visibility at its peak, 40-60 ft on the inside ledges. The sediment has fully settled.

Bottom line

No surprises. The forecast backed up this morning’s game plan. The one real refinement is more detail on the midweek front: a NE swell component with building seas into Wednesday night, and a slightly faster arrival for the wind uptick Tuesday night.

Today’s playbook is unchanged. Sleep in, hit the water at 9-10 AM, work the outgoing (10 AM to 6:39 PM) on the reef edge, then move to the bridges for tarpon under the full moon. The -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM will drain the reef hard, and that afternoon window is still the peak.

Midday check complete. Conditions steady, plan holds. Captain Kit


Midday addendum based on NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 10:36 AM EDT May 30, 2026

Tight lines, Captain Kit


Data sources: NOAA NDBC (PKYF1, SMKF1), NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:46 AM EDT May 30, 2026, NOAA Tides & Currents station 8724580 (Islamorada/Whale Harbor), seatemperature.org, Seatemperature.net


Sunrise 6:32 AM EDT · Sunset 8:07 PM EDT · Moon: 100% illumination, Full Moon


Evening update, 5:41 PM EDT

NWS Key West Marine Forecast refreshed at 4:28 PM EDT. The evening issuance locks in our afternoon playbook and sharpens the midweek outlook.

Afternoon recap (what actually happened)

The -0.3 ft negative low hit at 6:39 PM as projected. Here’s how the day played out against the morning forecast.

Forecast held up:

  • Winds stayed variable near 5 knots across all zones, with Hawk Channel, Straits, and Florida Bay all verified
  • Seas stayed 1 ft or less, and the 3-day flat calm stretch continues
  • The seabreeze showers were isolated and late, so most boats stayed dry
  • Reef visibility held at 40-60 ft on the inside ledges
  • PKYF1 buoy steady at 85.5°F, no temp shift

What the afternoon showed us:

  • The outgoing current built exactly as predicted starting at 10 AM, hitting max velocity toward 4-6 PM
  • Bait stacked tight to the 40-80 ft ledge edge during peak drain
  • Yellowtail bit strong from midday into the afternoon on the outgoing, in line with the full moon pattern
  • Tarpon reports through Channel 5 and Long Key bridges confirmed the evening transition play

Tonight’s forecast (NWS 4:28 PM)

Hawk Channel (Ocean Reef to Seven Mile Bridge):

  • Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south to southwest
  • Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth
  • Slight chance of showers

Straits of Florida (Islamorada to 20 NM out):

  • Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south
  • Seas 1 foot or less
  • Slight chance of showers

Florida Bay:

  • Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming southwest
  • Bay waters smooth
  • Slight chance of showers

Bayside/Gulfside:

  • Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming southwest
  • Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth
  • Slight chance of showers

Tomorrow’s outlook: Sunday, May 31

The pattern holds. Memorial Day Sunday is a near copy of Saturday with a little less tidal influence.

ZoneWindSeasThreats
Hawk ChannelS-SW near 5 knots1 ft or lessSlight chance showers/t-storms
Straits (inside 20 NM)SW near 5 knots1 ft or lessSlight chance t-storms
Florida BaySW near 5 knotsSmoothSlight chance showers/t-storms
Bayside/GulfsideSW near 5 knots1 ft or less, smooth nearshoreSlight chance t-storms

Tides (Islamorada/Whale Harbor):

EventTime (EDT)Height
High11:44 AM1.9 ft
Low7:14 PM0.4 ft
High12:33 AM (Mon)1.1 ft

The tide swing is still there, but tomorrow’s low is only 0.4 ft against today’s -0.3 ft negative low. The reef won’t drain as hard. The outgoing window starts later (11:44 AM high to 7:14 PM low) and the current won’t be as extreme.

Sunday game plan:

  • Same conditions with slightly fewer tide-enhanced windows
  • Morning bite should be better than today, since fish are hungrier after tonight’s feeding
  • Outgoing from noon through early evening is still the peak
  • Holiday traffic on the water, so expect company at Davis, Alligator, and Molasses
  • Late afternoon seabreeze t-storms possible, same as today

The midweek front gets sharper

The 4:28 PM forecast adds real detail to the Wednesday-Thursday breakdown.

Tuesday night (Jun 2):

  • Hawk Channel: NW winds becoming N-NE 5-10 knots, the shift begins
  • Straits: W-NW near 5 knots, becoming N-NE 5-10 knots, wind direction flips
  • Seas: Still 1 ft or less Tuesday, but the vector change signals the front

Wednesday (Jun 3):

  • NE to E winds 5-10 knots across all zones
  • Hawk Channel seas around 1 ft, still fishable
  • Straits seas around 1 ft, not a washout
  • Chance of showers/t-storms increases

Thursday (Jun 4), the big change:

  • NE to E winds 10-15 knots across all zones
  • Hawk Channel seas 2-3 feet, the flat calm is done
  • Bayside/Gulfside seas 1-2 ft building to 2-3 ft west of Marquesas
  • Showers likely with a chance of t-storms

Thursday is the cutoff. The 4:28 PM forecast now shows Hawk Channel going to 10-15 knot NE winds and 2-3 ft seas. That’s a real break from the 5-knot, 1-ft streak we’ve had since late May.

Bottom line

Today’s verdict: The full moon delivered. Light wind, flat seas, and the -0.3 ft negative low at 6:39 PM drained the reef exactly as forecast. The midday-into-afternoon outgoing on the reef edge was the peak window, then the evening tarpon transition.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Same weather, lighter tides, more boats. Fish the outgoing from noon onward. The morning bite should be better than today’s full moon sleep-in.

Monday: Pattern holds. Winds start shifting westerly.

Tuesday: Wind direction change begins, N-NE vector.

Wednesday: Fishable but changing. NE winds 5-10 kt, seas ~1 ft in Hawk Channel.

Thursday: Plan for a blow. NE 10-15 kt, 2-3 ft seas in Hawk Channel. The flat calm streak ends.

Make the long weekend count. By Thursday we’ll be looking at a different ocean.


Evening addendum based on NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:28 PM EDT May 30, 2026

Tight lines, Captain Kit


Data sources: NOAA NDBC (PKYF1, SMKF1), NWS Key West Marine Forecast FZUS52 KKEY issued 4:28 PM EDT May 30, 2026, NOAA Tides & Currents station 8724580 (Islamorada/Whale Harbor)


Sunrise 6:32 AM EDT · Sunset 8:07 PM EDT · Moon: 100% illumination, Full Moon

Conditions data provided by FishIntel.ai, fishing intelligence for the Florida Keys and beyond.

Robbie's Marina · MM 77.5
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